Not sure anyone can explain it entirely as VW don't exactly publish the details but
@Vw guru probably has the best source of info on this. There have certainly been plenty of vans post 2010/12 exhibiting the problem and needing new engines. Perhaps the 2010/12 ones had other issues with the cylinders that increased the risk or made the issue occur more quickly. Who knows!?!
As
@AlanC said, unless it has a very low mileage, a 2013 is very likely to have already sustained some damage. However, I still think preventing any further particles from getting into the engine could at least slow the problem down and perhaps prevent the need for an engine replacement for longer.