Velma's Dad
Super Poster
VIP Member
I can't imagine anyone would deny that modern life is almost completely reliant on distribution of electricity. That's been the case for decades and the more recent shift towards 'green' electric space heating EVs makes only a marginal difference to national-level resilience in practice.You obviously don’t get it, I’m afraid.
I’m not concerned how the electricity is generated, whether it be by solar, wind, nuclear or whatever, maybe hot air , the fact of the matter is by going ALL electric which was the main thrust of COP26 then the resilience of the Power Distribution Network becomes very, very important. Storms are supposed to become more frequent and more severe.
One storm, last week, and power has not been restored to everyone after 8 days.
Those who had heating systems that did not depend on electricity had some heating ability, others did not.
Maybe people will take notice if a similarly devastating storm hits the Midlands, London or the South East and large numbers of consumers have no electricity for a week or more.
In the future we are promised electric boilers, heat pumps and electric vehicles powered by electricity from nuclear, solar and wind. All completely useless if the Distribution grid is severely damaged. How are the electrically powered emergency vehicles going to get around if they cannot be charged. How are hospitals going to cope without diesel generators etc.
The Law of Unintended Consequences raises its head. Put all your eggs in one basket - an electrically powered economy/world - and Power Distribution assumes massive importance.
Yes a vehicle with a fuel tank of fossil fuel can (currently) stay in service longer than an EV but fuel stations are electric powered. Food supplies and some medicines rely on cold chains. As WG says, some after Arwen last week may have had access to heating systems not requiring electricity - but most will not and that's been the case for a long time (having said that I do remember cooking our Xmas lunch on a neighbour's oil fired AGA, during a power cut in about 1990). Modern communications are, obviously, completely grid power dependent - from 2025 I gather that old non-internet landlines capable of working in a power outage will be binned completely. Etc etc. None of this has much to do with how the power in the grid is generated.
I've worked on the ground in many natural disasters around the world and in anything other than the least-developed rural communities the restoration of power grids is always fundamental to recovery, beyond the immediate life-saving phase.
The solution to these challenges is to make the power distribution grid as resilient as possible. There are well understood engineering approaches towards that, which are applied routinely in countries more prone to natural hazards than the UK is - or has been anyway. There seems, to me, little point in debating whether/how long the country could survive if the power grid goes down for a lengthy period, the thing is to ensure as far as possible that it does not.
The retention of some adequate short term life-sustaining emergency response capacity in a serious crisis (eg having access to some ICE vehicles that can be refuelled from hand-pumped ground tanks maintained by the military, or diesel generators to re-charge safety-critical EVs) is something that most countries have organised. The UK is very unusual in not having a national emergency management organisation or coordinated EM infrastructure: that would cost money but of course the UK hasn't been disaster-prone, to date anyway. The government's view of that may change as Arwen-scale storms increase in frequency.