On a slightly parallel tack, I found this an excellent and very insightful article:
It is the end of the affair. We are no longer at epidemic levels of covid-19 prevalence in the UK (0.27% of the population infected, where 0.4% is the low end required to be “epidemic”)…
thecritic.co.uk
It basically argues that there is mounting evidence that the virus has a definite 'life span' epidemiologically and that the issues now are going to be about unwinding the lockdown eg persuading teachers etc most of whom are at negligible risk to come out of the bunkers.
They also argue that SAGE and the government employed a deliberate policy of frightening the population into obeying the lockdown, which if it turns out to be true (publication of the actual SAGE advice still seems to be unconscionably coy) would be unfortunate, given that large sections of the media are quite capable of terrifying the population without the government's help.