BBC Radio 4 news this morning:
A 14% slump in the economy is expected over the next 3 months.
The impact of the lockdown on on death rates as a result of this may turn out to be higher than the virus itself.
Maybe DocBob has a point.
Lightening . I am with you on this.
Surely a massive slump in the economy is exactly what we are all expecting !!
Surely we already understand that if operations and treatments are cancelled or postponed then people will suffer and some will die as a result !!
Surely we already understand that for some people this will be absolutely devastating and lives will be permanently marred !!
And we can all see that the young will be paying for this tragedy for many decades to come .. in all sorts of ways .. financially, emotionally .. !!
None of this is rocket science !!!!
However, CV19 is not an alien conspiracy !! .. or an American, Chinese, S African one .. It is a genuine global health emergency of unprecedented proportions. Has it been expected/predicted? Yes, of course it has, but the precise years, months weren’t forecast and any planning for this form of emergency has turned out to pretty inadequate in most countries.
One of the key things that sets this virus apart from other epidemics/pandemics is the speed of travel. This means that the numbers of very unwell patients overwhelms our health services in a way we have never seen before.
Left to its own devices .. ie., without intervention/lockdown .. it won’t be “just” the old and the vulnerable who die .. there will be a great many young and fit on that list.
So .. there are very few choices and as lockdowns are lifted and reapplied in the coming weeks and months more and more people will die but the speed of those deaths will be controlled. With that control the otherwise fit and healthy will have their best chance of survival .. and these people will be the ones we need to revive the economy.
Sadly, there are no good choices to be made and so governments throughout the world are choosing the options that show the most humanity .. trying to save as many people as they cans that there is some degree of control. No one really knows yet how this will all end .. it depends on progress with vaccine and tracing development .. but it won’t be normal again anytime soon .. and many, many more people will die.