Diesel ban 2030

[Digger]

The financial penalties won't just be confined to ICE vehicles. The need to raise tax revenue in the coming years will mean that EVs will be targeted as well. They are enjoying a brief tax free honeymoon period at present but as soon as their take up rises significantly they will become too big an income opportunity for any administration to ignore. The costs of recharging will escalate and some excuse will be found to milk them in the same way as the ICE cash cows have always been. This is as certain as night follows day.

Hence the consideration of pay per mile.

 

[GrumpyGranddad]

The financial penalties won't just be confined to ICE vehicles. The need to raise tax revenue in the coming years will mean that EVs will be targeted as well. They are enjoying a brief tax free honeymoon period at present but as soon as their take up rises significantly they will become too big an income opportunity for any administration to ignore. The costs of recharging will escalate and some excuse will be found to milk them in the same way as the ICE cash cows have always been. This is as certain as night follows day.

Spot on. The revenue stream from petrol/diesel has to be replaced.

 

[willwander]

Might be a little out of date but just read that if population growth continues on the current trajectory it will increase from 7.7 billion to 11.2 billion humans on the planet by 2100.
However if a 1 child policy was adopted across the globe right now, the world population would fall back through natural attrition to 1.6 billion by 2100.
Great for the planet but of course it won’t happen.
It does bring into perspective the almost impossible task of reducing emissions whilst population growth continues unabated.

On the contrary, one of the biggest problems the world will face over the next few years, is population collapse. Fertility rates are dropping dramatically in the developed world. We are likely to see peak population in 2070, when the global fertility rate will fall below the global replacement fertility rate, we will not have enough young workers to support an aging population, we already see this in Japan and parts of Europe, but due to the one child policy we will soon see this in China too.
Good for the environment, maybe...but it may result in very unfavourable social and economic consequences.

 

[GrumpyGranddad]

On the contrary, one of the biggest problems the world will face over the next few years, is population collapse. Fertility rates are dropping dramatically in the developed world. We are likely to see peak population in 2070, when the global fertility rate will fall below the global replacement fertility rate, we will not have enough young workers to support an aging population, we already see this in Japan and parts of Europe, but due to the one child policy we will soon see this in China too.
Good for the environment, maybe...but it may result in very unfavourable social and economic consequences.

Yes I read that too willwander, but wonder are fertility rates also falling in the ‘undeveloped’ world? I thought that the population in Africa was rapidly increasing?

 

[Amarillo]

Yes I read that too willwander, but wonder are fertility rates also falling in the ‘undeveloped’ world? I thought that the population in Africa was rapidly increasing?

It is, but not as rapidly as it once was.

It appears that as humans become better fed their fertility drops, and this seems to be unique in the animal kingdom. However, there does seem to be an uptick in fertility among the very rich, but this may be due to paying for IVF rather than being bothered to go through the mechanics of making babies. Odd.

 

[Velma's Dad]

It is, but not as rapidly as it once was.

It appears that as humans become better fed their fertility drops, and this seems to be unique in the animal kingdom. However, there does seem to be an uptick in fertility among the very rich, but this may be due to paying for IVF rather than being bothered to go through the mechanics of making babies. Odd.

One of the biggest factors is (simply) the education of girls. Huge and widely observed negative correlations in very many studies between education levels and birth rate. Cause generally held to be raised opportunity costs of bearing children in terms of lost employment income (educated women obviously have higher earning potential).

 

[flying banana]

Might be a little out of date but just read that if population growth continues on the current trajectory it will increase from 7.7 billion to 11.2 billion humans on the planet by 2100.
However if a 1 child policy was adopted across the globe right now, the world population would fall back through natural attrition to 1.6 billion by 2100.
Great for the planet but of course it won’t happen.
It does bring into perspective the almost impossible task of reducing emissions whilst population growth continues unabated.

Dont panic. Bill Gates has it all in hand

 

[Trojax]

So I have just seen this thread and would comment that Diesel is the price it is in the UK because we don't have any storage capacity using all the Diesel we import with in days of it arriving. the Ban on Petrol and Diesel cars/ vans will mean that the demand for the fuel will start to decline as cars are scrapped....this should lead to lower prices as the demand falls. So happy days